{"id":18895,"date":"2025-09-12T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-12T09:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/insights\/3q25-earnings-previews-uber-pypl-lyft\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T20:54:04","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T20:54:04","slug":"3q25-earnings-previews-uber-pypl-lyft","status":"publish","type":"insight","link":"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/insights\/3q25-earnings-previews-uber-pypl-lyft\/","title":{"rendered":"3Q25 Earnings Previews: UBER (+) \/ PYPL (+) \/ LYFT (-)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>This was first published September 11th, in our weekly newsletter\u00a0Apptopia Insight. To receive insights like this weekly, sign up\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/learn.apptopia.com\/newsletter\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>UBER &#8211; Consumer app DAUs rising, Driver app DAUs even better<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>LYFT &#8211; Driver app is down YoY, creating a risk to Rides<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>PYPL &#8211; Transactions growth inflecting better-than-expected<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:2px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/my_reports#research-library\">Earnings Previews are here<\/a>! Check out where mobile data is saying something different from consensus. For example, in our previews we called out CHWY\u2019s recent miss. Check out the whole file to see the 20 stocks we are calling out this quarter. Below are a couple of notable ones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Ride-hailing and food delivery &#8211; UBER (+) \/ LYFT (-)<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Below is our weekly view of the YoY growth of DAUs for this sector. DASH jumps out due to its strength &#8211; particularly the Dasher app &#8211; but this growth is already expected by consensus. However, our data has a better-than-expected outlook for UBER and worse-than-expected for LYFT:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"591\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.24-PM-1024x591.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15505\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.24-PM-1024x591.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.24-PM-300x173.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.24-PM-768x443.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.24-PM-1536x886.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.24-PM.png 1952w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><br>We have talked before about the importance of driver apps, and the chart above illustrates it again. Drivers are using the app for actual Trips, while the consumer app has more noise in it. With that in mind, below are snapshots of our Mobile Performance Index (MPI) for UBER and for LYFT:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">UBER &#8211; MPI YoY growth vs Consensus &#8211; Trips<\/span><\/em><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"628\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.40-PM-1024x628.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15506\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.40-PM-1024x628.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.40-PM-300x184.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.40-PM-768x471.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.40-PM-1536x942.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.40-PM.png 1624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><em>LYFT &#8211; MPI YoY growth vs Consensus &#8211; Rides<\/em><\/span><\/em><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"589\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.47-PM-1024x589.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15507\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.47-PM-1024x589.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.47-PM-300x173.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.47-PM-768x442.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.47-PM-1536x883.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.47-PM.png 1624w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">PYPL &#8211; inflecting transactions<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While consensus is expecting the negative YoY growth in transactions to end, app data is showing positive growth in 3Q. Our MPI is being driven up nicely, both due to Venmo accelerating and PayPal\u2019s deceleration bottoming out in our panel data. Not every data point is strong for PayPal &#8211; downloads and DAUs look iffy for the PayPal app &#8211; but it is enough to push YoY growth on the MPI into positive territory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><em><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">PYPL &#8211; MPI YoY growth vs Consensus &#8211; Payment transactions<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"631\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.56-PM-1024x631.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15508\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.56-PM-1024x631.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.56-PM-300x185.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.56-PM-768x473.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.56-PM-1536x946.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.23.56-PM.png 1584w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Venmo app &#8211; sessions per DAU &#8211; All users and ages 26-35 (monthly)<\/span><\/em><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"389\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.24.05-PM-1024x389.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15509\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.24.05-PM-1024x389.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.24.05-PM-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.24.05-PM-768x291.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.24.05-PM-1536x583.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.24.05-PM.png 1934w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><em>PayPal app &#8211; sessions per DAU &#8211; All users and ages 26-35 (monthly)<\/em><\/span><\/em><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"403\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.24.12-PM-1024x403.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15510\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.24.12-PM-1024x403.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.24.12-PM-300x118.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.24.12-PM-768x302.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.24.12-PM-1536x604.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-10-at-5.24.12-PM.png 1998w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:27px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:48px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Questions on the underlying data included in this analysis?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:49px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/engage.apptopia.com\/custom-research-request\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Data request<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This was first published September 11th, in our weekly newsletter\u00a0Apptopia Insight. To receive insights like this weekly, sign up\u00a0here. Earnings Previews are here! Check out where mobile data is saying something different from consensus. For example, in our previews we called out CHWY\u2019s recent miss. Check out the whole file to see the 20 stocks [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":15512,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","template":"","insight_category":[86,87],"insight_tag":[143,267,140],"class_list":["post-18895","insight","type-insight","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","insight_category-fintech","insight_category-ride-hailing-food-delivery","insight_tag-lyft","insight_tag-pypl","insight_tag-uber"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>3Q25 Earnings Previews: UBER (+) \/ PYPL (+) \/ LYFT (-) - Apptopia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/insights\/3q25-earnings-previews-uber-pypl-lyft\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"3Q25 Earnings Previews: UBER (+) \/ PYPL (+) \/ LYFT (-) - Apptopia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This was first published September 11th, in our weekly newsletter\u00a0Apptopia Insight. 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