{"id":18894,"date":"2025-09-08T08:45:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-08T08:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/insights\/predicting-a-good-quarter-for-robinhood-hood-weekly-word-of-caution-on-roblox-rblx\/"},"modified":"2026-03-10T20:49:10","modified_gmt":"2026-03-10T20:49:10","slug":"predicting-a-good-quarter-for-robinhood-hood-weekly-word-of-caution-on-roblox-rblx","status":"publish","type":"insight","link":"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/insights\/predicting-a-good-quarter-for-robinhood-hood-weekly-word-of-caution-on-roblox-rblx\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cPredicting\u201d a good quarter for Robinhood (HOOD); weekly word of caution on Roblox (RBLX)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>This was first published September 7th, in our weekly newsletter&nbsp;Apptopia Insight. To receive insights like this weekly, sign up&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/learn.apptopia.com\/newsletter\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Robinhood compares favorably to other trading apps QTD<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Robinhood\u2019s app data suggests above-consensus users and transactions\u00a0in 3Q<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Robinhood\u2019s user engagement, especially in younger users, is strong<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Roblox &#8211; Gen Z time spent per DAU continues to fall<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:2px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>While we need to wait until Monday to see if Robinhood\u2019s new college and NFL prediction markets resulted in any change in user behavior, we can see right now how Robinhood is stacking up QTD versus other trading apps:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:50px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"314\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.09-PM-1024x314.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15406\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.09-PM-1024x314.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.09-PM-300x92.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.09-PM-768x235.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.09-PM-1536x471.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.09-PM-2048x627.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><br>The year-over-year growth for Robinhood\u2019s DAUs remains very strong, having grown >30% each week except for one over the past seven weeks.\u00a0 This compares favorably to Coinbase, and is way better than Webull\u2019s US app, which is shedding DAUs.\u00a0 This strong growth for Robinhood is reflected in our <a href=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/mobile-performance-index\/\">Mobile Performance Index (MPI) for HOOD<\/a>, which is predicting above consensus acceleration in growth this quarter:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"448\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.19-PM-1024x448.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15407\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.19-PM-1024x448.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.19-PM-300x131.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.19-PM-768x336.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.19-PM-1536x671.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.19-PM.png 1922w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In addition, Robinhood\u2019s downloads (iOS only) have historically tracked well with Transaction-based Revenue.&nbsp; Here we also see YoY growth picking up faster than consensus expects:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"655\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.49-PM-1024x655.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15408\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.49-PM-1024x655.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.49-PM-300x192.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.49-PM-768x491.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.49-PM-1536x983.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.49-PM.png 1846w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Another positive development for Robinhood is the growth in time spent per DAU, especially among Gen Z.&nbsp; This is an important customer segment for HOOD and our panel data shows their engagement growing faster than the engagement for all users:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"376\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.59-PM-1024x376.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15410\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.59-PM-1024x376.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.59-PM-300x110.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.59-PM-768x282.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.59-PM-1536x564.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.58.59-PM.png 1918w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This all suggests that even without a boost from prediction markets, Robinhood is on track for a strong quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><em><strong>Roblox &#8211; time spent per DAU peaked (still)<\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Last week we pointed out that, while app data for Roblox remains quite strong, there is one data point that raises a yellow flag.&nbsp; Time spent per DAU among those aged 17-25 peaked back in late July and has been declining since.&nbsp; While it is normal for time spent on RBLX to drop when kids go back to school\/college, this is a more dramatic fall than the same time last year (dotted line in the chart below).&nbsp; We think it is important for investors to keep an eye out for any potential weakness with this stock, and this could be one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"430\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.59.10-PM-1024x430.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15411\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.59.10-PM-1024x430.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.59.10-PM-300x126.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.59.10-PM-768x323.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.59.10-PM-1536x646.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Screenshot-2025-09-05-at-12.59.10-PM.png 1908w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:27px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:48px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Questions on the underlying data included in this analysis?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:49px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/engage.apptopia.com\/custom-research-request\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Data request<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This was first published September 7th, in our weekly newsletter&nbsp;Apptopia Insight. To receive insights like this weekly, sign up&nbsp;here. While we need to wait until Monday to see if Robinhood\u2019s new college and NFL prediction markets resulted in any change in user behavior, we can see right now how Robinhood is stacking up QTD versus [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":15412,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","template":"","insight_category":[86,96],"insight_tag":[259,119],"class_list":["post-18894","insight","type-insight","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","insight_category-fintech","insight_category-gaming","insight_tag-hood","insight_tag-rblx"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u201cPredicting\u201d a good quarter for Robinhood (HOOD); weekly word of caution on Roblox (RBLX) - Apptopia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/insights\/predicting-a-good-quarter-for-robinhood-hood-weekly-word-of-caution-on-roblox-rblx\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u201cPredicting\u201d a good quarter for Robinhood (HOOD); weekly word of caution on Roblox (RBLX) - Apptopia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This was first published September 7th, in our weekly newsletter&nbsp;Apptopia Insight. 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