{"id":18875,"date":"2024-12-04T09:15:00","date_gmt":"2024-12-04T09:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/insights\/coin-dkng-duol-sofi-sq-earnings-review-and-mid-quarter-update-2\/"},"modified":"2024-12-04T09:15:00","modified_gmt":"2024-12-04T09:15:00","slug":"coin-dkng-duol-sofi-sq-earnings-review-and-mid-quarter-update-2","status":"publish","type":"insight","link":"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/insights\/coin-dkng-duol-sofi-sq-earnings-review-and-mid-quarter-update-2\/","title":{"rendered":"COIN \/ DKNG \/ DUOL \/ SOFI \/ SQ &#8211; Earnings Review and Mid-Quarter Update"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>This was first published December 3, in our weekly newsletter\u00a0Apptopia Insight. To receive insights like this weekly, sign up\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/learn.apptopia.com\/newsletter\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>DoorDash (DASH) &#8211; making everyone else look bad<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Uber (UBER) &#8211; the app being made to look bad<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Lyft (LYFT) &#8211; things are changing fast\u2026<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Instacart (CART) &#8211; special review<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>With two months of 3Q gone and Thanksgiving behind us, now is a great time to check in and see how different sectors are performing QTD.\u00a0 Today we will highlight ride hailing and food delivery.\u00a0 This sector is interesting right now as it has a winner, a loser, and two question marks so far this quarter.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Below is a table showing the YoY growth rates for DAUs for both the consumer apps and the driver apps. For our analysis, we like to focus on the driver apps as activity on those apps are more likely to be tied to an actual delivery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Ride Hailing and Food Delivery &#8211; DAUs YoY Growth &#8211; Weekly<\/span><\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-9.59.45\u202fAM-1024x500.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4045\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-9.59.45\u202fAM-1024x500.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-9.59.45\u202fAM-300x146.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-9.59.45\u202fAM-768x375.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-9.59.45\u202fAM-1536x750.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-9.59.45\u202fAM.png 2040w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>DASH &#8211; making everyone else look bad<\/strong>While growth rates are strong across the board in the table above, DoorDash\u2019s YoY growth rates put the rest to shame.&nbsp; The Dasher app\u2019s <strong>lowest<\/strong> YoY growth rate since the beginning of September is 32.7%.&nbsp; Despite the last week of November containing Thanksgiving, the Dasher app still grew DAUs 44%.&nbsp; At this point in the quarter, our data is pointing to a slightly above consensus quarter:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"731\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.01.21\u202fAM-1024x731.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4046\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.01.21\u202fAM-1024x731.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.01.21\u202fAM-300x214.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.01.21\u202fAM-768x548.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.01.21\u202fAM-1536x1096.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.01.21\u202fAM-2048x1461.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>UBER &#8211; the app being made to look bad<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After last quarter\u2019s earnings miss, UBER still has not gotten back on track.&nbsp; While it is not a huge surprise to see Uber Eats lagging behind its peers in the table above, the Uber Driver app is also struggling to grow.&nbsp; Half of the weeks this quarter have seen YoY growth rates in the mid-single digits.&nbsp; This leads to a quarter that looks to be growing slower than what consensus expects &#8211; note the difference in the slopes of the lines below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"750\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.02.42\u202fAM-1024x750.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4047\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.02.42\u202fAM-1024x750.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.02.42\u202fAM-300x220.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.02.42\u202fAM-768x563.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.02.42\u202fAM-1536x1125.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.02.42\u202fAM.png 2042w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>LYFT &#8211; things are changing fast\u2026<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If we had written this newsletter two weeks ago, we would have had a different story to tell on LYFT.&nbsp; However, the Lyft Driver app has experienced a strong acceleration in DAUs the past two weeks, bringing our data essentially in line with consensus.&nbsp; How it performs over the next month will be key to a miss or beat in 4Q.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"729\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.03.47\u202fAM-1024x729.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4048\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.03.47\u202fAM-1024x729.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.03.47\u202fAM-300x214.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.03.47\u202fAM-768x547.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.03.47\u202fAM-1536x1094.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.03.47\u202fAM-2048x1458.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>CART &#8211; special review<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our data last quarter did not catch the strong acceleration in CART\u2019s GTV.\u00a0 To put that in perspective, below we are showing almost <strong>four years<\/strong> of our data versus CART\u2019s reported GTV.\u00a0 There are only two quarters where our data got the direction wrong, 2Q22 and 3Q24.\u00a0 Hence, the long-term relationship remains strong.\u00a0 However, you can see why we have some concern with 4Q &#8211; our data is once again pointing to a big miss.\u00a0 In fact, our data is showing a sequential decline in DAUs for the Shopper app in 4Q, whereas GTV almost always rises sequentially in 4Q.\u00a0 As a result, my takeaway is that you should be cautious about CART\u2019s 4Q, but take it with a grain of salt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2216\" height=\"1492\" src=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.05.10\u202fAM.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4049\" srcset=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.05.10\u202fAM.png 2216w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.05.10\u202fAM-300x202.png 300w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.05.10\u202fAM-1024x689.png 1024w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.05.10\u202fAM-768x517.png 768w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.05.10\u202fAM-1536x1034.png 1536w, https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/Screenshot-2024-12-03-at-10.05.10\u202fAM-2048x1379.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2216px) 100vw, 2216px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:27px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:48px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Questions on the underlying data included in this analysis?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:49px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/engage.apptopia.com\/custom-research-request\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Data request<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This was first published December 3, in our weekly newsletter\u00a0Apptopia Insight. To receive insights like this weekly, sign up\u00a0here. With two months of 3Q gone and Thanksgiving behind us, now is a great time to check in and see how different sectors are performing QTD.\u00a0 Today we will highlight ride hailing and food delivery.\u00a0 This [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":4052,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","template":"","insight_category":[213],"insight_tag":[237],"class_list":["post-18875","insight","type-insight","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","insight_category-app-economy","insight_tag-earnings-reviews"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>COIN \/ DKNG \/ DUOL \/ SOFI \/ SQ - Earnings Review and Mid-Quarter Update - Apptopia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/apptopia.com\/en\/insights\/coin-dkng-duol-sofi-sq-earnings-review-and-mid-quarter-update-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"COIN \/ DKNG \/ DUOL \/ SOFI \/ SQ - Earnings Review and Mid-Quarter Update - Apptopia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This was first published December 3, in our weekly newsletter\u00a0Apptopia Insight. 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